How Donald Trump and Joe Biden Polls Look Eight Months Before Election

Joe Biden and Donald Trump are still neck and neck in the polls ahead of November's election, but voters appear more concerned about the issues surrounding the president than his expected Republican challenger.

With eight months to go before what looks set to be a rematch of the 2020's race, Biden narrowly beats Trump in two of the last six serious surveys, Trump leads in three and one is tied, according to FiveThirtyEight's collection of national polls.

When broken down further, the polls suggest that potential voters are more concerned with the age of the 81-year-old president as he seeks reelection, than they are with the 77-year-old Republican who is also seeking a second term in office. Surveys also suggest that people believe that Trump will be better at handling the economy than Biden if elected president. And Trump's legal issues have apparently still not damaged his White House hopes.

By the end of Super Tuesday, Trump is expected to all but secure the 2024 Republican presidential nomination as polls suggest he will sweep the board against Nikki Haley in all 16 races taking place on March 5. Biden, who had no serious challenges in the Democratic primary, should also soon be confirmed as the Democratic nominee, despite polls suggesting voters would prefer another candidate.

Biden's and Trump's campaign teams have been contacted for comment via email.

On March 4, a Morning Consult survey of 6,334 registered voters gave Biden a boost in his reelection hopes by giving him a one-point lead over Trump (44 percent to 43 percent).

This is the first time that Biden has led over Trump in a Morning Consult poll since early January. The survey, conducted from March 1 to 3, also found that 85 percent who voted for Biden during the record-breaking turnout in 2020 said they will support him again in the 2024 race, the largest share since early September 2023.

The same day, an I&I/TIPP poll of 1,246 registered voters was released that also showed Biden with a slight 43 to 42 percent lead over Trump.

When other presidential candidates are added to the mix, including independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, and the Green Party's Jill Stein, Biden and Trump are tied at 38 percent.

A CBS News/YouGov poll released on March 4 showed that Trump has a four-point lead over Biden (52 percent to 48 percent), with likely voters also believing Trump is in better physical and cognitive health than the president.

The poll of 2,159 adults, conducted between February 28 and March 1, also showed that more believed that Trump's policies as president would reduce illegal immigration and would lower prices. More people (46 percent) described Trump's presidency as "excellent/good" than how they currently describe Biden's "so far" (33 percent).

On March 3, a New York Times/Siena survey gave Trump with a five-point lead over Biden (48 percent to 43 percent) among the 980 registered voters, as well as a four-point lead among those who said they are "likely" to vote in November (48 to 44 percent).

The poll, conducted between February 25 and 28, also showed that 53 percent of voters believe that Trump, who has pleaded not guilty to 91 charges across four cases, has committed federal crimes, down from 58 percent in December.

Also on March 3, a poll of 1,262 registered voters—conducted by Fox News with Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research at the same time as the New York Times survey—showed that Trump had 49 percent support against Biden's 47.

Discussing the results, Republican Daron Shaw who conducts the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson, said: "The focus for many will be on Trump's advantage, but his support hasn't wavered much since late fall.

"The more interesting question is whether Biden can resurrect his standing among African Americans, Hispanics, and younger voters, and boost his edge with independents."

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on February 29 showed that Biden and Trump are tied at 38 percent.

The survey of 1,185 U.S. adults also showed that a majority of Democrats (56 percent) said they were less likely to back a presidential candidate who does not support providing military aid to Israel amid the ongoing war with militant group Hamas—the latest sign of Biden's handling of the conflict is affecting his reelection bid.